Post by Neil Patrick Harris on Feb 3, 2011 2:34:21 GMT -5
I'm giving:
14 rocks to myself
1 rock to George
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A brief explanation of my strategy, such as it is: given that the theme of the challenge is twos, I'm guessing that the magic number is 22, and my strategy is based on that assumption. If it isn't, which is entirely likely given that I'm basically taking a stab in the dark, then it doesn't really matter who I give the rocks to because the result will be completely random. If it is 22, though, then my goal is to get myself as close to that number as possible without going over. I've chosen to give myself 14 rocks, knowing full well that all it would take is one person to load me up with rocks to put me over 22 and eliminate me. I'm guessing that 1) a certain number of people will do exactly what I did, meaning that a lot of the rocks are just going to wind up with their original owners; and 2) that a certain number of people are going to try to distribute their rocks as evenly as possible, which is the other strategy that I considered. In either of these scenarios, I don't wind up with many more rocks that the 14 I already have, which is a good thing. So the moral of the story, I guess, is that I'm hoping that no one decides to give me a ton of their rocks, which seems unlikely but no more unlikely than any other scenario I could imagine. Like I said, any strategy in this game is basically just a stab in the dark.
As for George... I don't care whether or not he wins immunity, since neither scenario would change my strategy in the slightest, so giving him a rock is basically my way of throwing it away.
14 rocks to myself
1 rock to George
---------------------
A brief explanation of my strategy, such as it is: given that the theme of the challenge is twos, I'm guessing that the magic number is 22, and my strategy is based on that assumption. If it isn't, which is entirely likely given that I'm basically taking a stab in the dark, then it doesn't really matter who I give the rocks to because the result will be completely random. If it is 22, though, then my goal is to get myself as close to that number as possible without going over. I've chosen to give myself 14 rocks, knowing full well that all it would take is one person to load me up with rocks to put me over 22 and eliminate me. I'm guessing that 1) a certain number of people will do exactly what I did, meaning that a lot of the rocks are just going to wind up with their original owners; and 2) that a certain number of people are going to try to distribute their rocks as evenly as possible, which is the other strategy that I considered. In either of these scenarios, I don't wind up with many more rocks that the 14 I already have, which is a good thing. So the moral of the story, I guess, is that I'm hoping that no one decides to give me a ton of their rocks, which seems unlikely but no more unlikely than any other scenario I could imagine. Like I said, any strategy in this game is basically just a stab in the dark.
As for George... I don't care whether or not he wins immunity, since neither scenario would change my strategy in the slightest, so giving him a rock is basically my way of throwing it away.